Week 12 NFL betting guide: Best plays for every game – ESPN (blog)

5:20 PM ET

Warren Sharp

Close Special to ESPN.com Licensed professional engineer with 20 years experience Uses advanced metrics to find betting market inefficiencies Specializes in NFL and CFB totals

Preston Johnson

Close Professional sports bettor finding advantages in inefficient markets

It’s Week 12 of the NFL season, and handicappers Warren Sharp and Preston Johnson have you covered with comprehensive betting previews for all of Sunday’s games (except the late game, which will be featured in a separate file).

Note: All odds courtesy of the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook as of Friday morning.

Jacksonville Jaguars (-3) at Buffalo Bills

Total: 37
PickCenter public consensus pick: 66 percent picked Jacksonville

Johnson: The Jaguars opened as 4-point favorites in Buffalo, and the line has since been bet down to -3. My number lined up with the opener at -4.2. The Jaguars have been in a steady decline and lost six games in a row, but it felt like the Steelers game at home this past Sunday was their last hurrah — an opportunity to make something of the otherwise disappointing season. For 56 minutes, it looked like exactly that. They led Pittsburgh 16-6 before finding a way to give up two touchdowns in the final minutes to lose the game. It’s going to be awfully tough to bounce back mentally from a loss like that, no matter the team. Jacksonville hasn’t given us any reason to think it will.

ESPN Chalk has you covered with all your NFL Week 12 betting needs:

Week 12 early look
ATS standings

Read More Here...

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