Spurs vs. Nuggets odds: NBA picks from expert who's 21-10 on Denver games – CBSSports.com

The surging Denver Nuggets try to remain hot Tuesday when they host the San Antonio Spurs (10:30 p.m. ET, TNT). The Nuggets are six-point sportsbook favorites, with the over-under for total points scored set at 207. Before you pick a side, check out what SportsLine expert Galin Dragiev has to say.

Dragiev is on a 21-10 run against the spread in games involving the Nuggets and he’s also on a 25-13 run in NBA picks overall.

Part of his success: Dragiev learned early on to predict the outcome of the game before determining how success trickles down to individual players, so he spent more time studying team outcomes than projecting individual players. When it comes to predictions, he trusts numbers above all else.

Now, he has locked in a strong spread pick for Tuesday that you can only see at SportsLine.

Dragiev knows the Nuggets might be one of the NBA’s most underappreciated stories this season. They have managed a winning record and contention for a playoff berth despite a roster bereft of superstars. They have also been without coveted free agent Paul Millsap most of the season because of injury.

Denver sits in the No. 7 position in the Western Conference playoff race and has won seven of its past 10 games. The Nuggets have covered the spread in six of those.

They are coming off a 123-113 road victory over Phoenix in which they broke open a tight game in the second half. All five starters scored in double figures, led by Wilson Chandler with 26 and Will Barton with 25.

On the flip side, the Spurs could be considered overachievers in their own right. They have managed to stay in the upper tier of the Western Conference despite a slew of injuries to

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