NFL odds, picks for Week 1: Advanced computer model loves Packers and Cowboys – CBSSports.com

Week 1 of the NFL season brings plenty of intriguing storylines as teams begin their pursuit of Super Bowl LIII. NFL odds have been on the move for weeks now, and they’ll continue to change as kickoffs approach. The defending champion Eagles, for example, opened as four-point favorites, but with Carson Wentz and Alshon Jeffery out, they’re now favored by only one in the Thursday night NFL Kickoff against Atlanta. The Raiders were just 2.5-point underdogs for their Monday night opener against the Rams, but that’s jumped to four points after dealing away Khalil Mack. With NFL odds swinging from side to side, you’ll want to see the Week 1 NFL picks and projections from SportsLine’s advanced computer model. 

This proprietary computer model went 176-80 last season and beat over 95 percent of CBS Office Pool players in 2016 and 2017. It also performed better than 98 percent of experts tracked by NFLPickWatch.com during that span. Additionally, it went 48-34 on A-rated picks against the spread last season, and $100 bettors who followed it the past two seasons are up nearly $4,000. 

Now it has simulated every snap of Week 1 of the 2018 NFL season 10,000 times and its Week 1 NFL picks are in. 

One pick from the computer we’ll give away: Carolina (-3) survives at home against Dallas, but it’ll be closer than Vegas thinks. 

The computer is projecting an efficient performance for Dak Prescott where he completes 20-of-30 passes for 215 yards and one touchdown. Ezekiel Elliott, meanwhile, adds over 100 yards of total offense, while receiver Allen Hurns leads the new-look group of receivers with 44 yards.

Carolina gets 187 yards through the air from Cam Newton and almost 40 more on the ground as the Panthers survive by only one

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