Five hitters who might have deserved better – MLB.com

Were you to look at Jackie Bradley Jr.’s traditional stat line, you’d probably say he’s having a poor year. He’s hitting just .215, with a .300 on-base percentage and a .363 slugging percentage, and every single one of those numbers are below the Major League non-pitcher averages of .252/.323/.417. Put that all together, and it says that 93 percent of qualified hitters this year are having better batting seasons than Bradley.

It’s hard to try to explain that away, yet we’re going to do exactly that. Bradley is one of a handful of hitters who have deserved better results than they’ve seen, and while that doesn’t guarantee better results going forward, it’s the difference between a .215 average that gives you some hope and a .215 that’s based entirely on poor performance.

Were you to look at Jackie Bradley Jr.’s traditional stat line, you’d probably say he’s having a poor year. He’s hitting just .215, with a .300 on-base percentage and a .363 slugging percentage, and every single one of those numbers are below the Major League non-pitcher averages of .252/.323/.417. Put that all together, and it says that 93 percent of qualified hitters this year are having better batting seasons than Bradley.

It’s hard to try to explain that away, yet we’re going to do exactly that. Bradley is one of a handful of hitters who have deserved better results than they’ve seen, and while that doesn’t guarantee better results going forward, it’s the difference between a .215 average that gives you some hope and a .215 that’s based entirely on poor performance.

The way we can say that is relatively simple; instead of looking at batting average, we look at expected batting average, or xBA. It works on the idea that while a hitter has a

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