NBA power rankings: No surprise, Warriors are No. 1 – Washington Post

With Klay Thompson on the mark, the Golden State Warriors are outscoring opponents by a league-high 10.5 net points per 100 possessions. (David J. Phillip/Associated Press)

Major injuries don’t seem to be standing in the way of great teams winning games. The Boston Celtics lost all-star forward Gordon Hayward one game into the season after signing him to a four-year, $128 million contract, yet they sit atop the East with a 33-10 record. The Houston Rockets have been without MVP runner-up James Harden in 2018 but have managed to keep pace with the Golden State Warriors in the West.

There are also some new faces vying for playoff spots. If the regular season ended today, the Miami Heat, Detroit Pistons, Minnesota Timberwolves, Denver Nuggets and New Orleans Pelicans would make the postseason after missing the playoffs in 2016-17.

To see how the teams stack up, we estimate each team’s talent level by averaging four components:

Their win-loss record. Their expected win-loss record based on points scored and allowed, also known as their Pythagorean win percentage. Their regressed win-loss record to account for a small sample size of less than an 82-game slate. Their predicted win rate for the season using preseason over/under win totals.

This is then compared to how much better or worse their opponents are in relation to a 41-win team to get our power rating, which is on a scale of 1 to 100. A good team playing well against good opponents will be near the top (with a higher score), while those that struggle against mediocre or poor teams will trend toward the bottom.

All set? Good. Here are this week’s power rankings. And if you disagree with any of the them, let me know on Twitter.

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